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分数线是高校志愿填报的三大参考数据之一。它对正确填报志愿至关重要。分数线的估测又是升学科研前沿的一大难题。本文提出一种便捷、准确的计算方法──水平比较法,并根据广西情况列出计算示例二则。“水平比较法”估测某科类某批次分数线的思路是:假设所研究的地(市)当年上线人数占全区上线数的比例与某年相同。在此前提下,首先利用被比较年度的统计数字计算出该年度该地(市)上线数占全省(区)的百分比;然后利用当年全区该批次的实有指标数乘以上述百分数;并考虑与被比较年度相同的余量得出当年当地(市)该批次应上线人数;最后比照当年该地(市)该科类按分数段统计的估分统计表,找出上述上线数所在的估分分数区段,并计出与该上线数对应的分数,这个分数值便是所估测的分数线。即使招生政策有所变化,但作为方法论,这种思路仍然是普遍适用的。
Fractional line is one of the three major reference data for college voluntary reporting. It is crucial for the proper reporting of volunteers. The estimation of the fractional line is another major challenge for entering the scientific research frontier. This paper presents a convenient and accurate method of calculation ─ ─ horizontal comparison method, and based on the situation of Guangxi listed in the calculation of two examples. The idea of a horizontal comparison method for estimating a certain batch of fractional lines in a subject is: Suppose the proportion of on-line personnel in the study area (city) in the whole area is the same as that in a certain year. Under this premise, we first calculate the percentage of the province (city) on the province (region) in that year by using the statistics of the year compared with the previous year and then multiply the actual index of the batch in that year by the above percentages ; And consider the same margin compared with the year was drawn that the local (city) the batch should be on line; Finally, the year (the city) of the section of the class statistics by the score of the statistic to find the line The number of points in the score segment, and count the number of points on the line, the score is the estimated score line. Even though there is a change in enrollment policy, this mentality is still generally applicable as a methodology.