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2013年,国际局势风云变幻,热点此起彼伏。2014年全球经济呈现出渐变的趋势,差异性和分化性的色彩进一步加重。悬念一:退出量化宽松,会否引发金融动荡对于全球经济尤其是新兴市场来说,美国退出量化宽松可能引发的负面冲击不可小觑。如果美国经济复苏保持当前势头,美联储2014年将不断扩大削减购债规模,这可能导致全球热钱大举回流美国。2014年新兴市场会否爆发新一轮金融动荡,将
In 2013, the international situation was changing and the hot spots came one after another. In 2014, the global economy showed a gradual trend of gradual increase in diversity and differentiation. Suspense one: exit QE will lead to financial turmoil For the global economy, especially emerging markets, the United States may be the negative impact of the withdrawal of quantitative easing should not be underestimated. If the U.S. economic recovery maintains its current momentum, the Fed will continue to expand the scale of debt-service purchases in 2014, which may result in the massive global hot money return to the United States. Will there be a new round of financial turmoil in emerging markets in 2014?