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1996年,美国前国防部长温伯格与胡佛研究所研究员彼得·施魏策尔先生联手推出了战略预言小说《下一场战争》。该书根据五角大楼的作战模拟想定,全面模拟和推演未来20年内全球最有可能爆发的五场战争,即:第二次朝鲜战争、第四次海湾战争、第二次太平洋战争、第二次美墨战争及第三次世界大战。本书一经面世,引起了极大的轰动。许多美国政治活动人士就此对美国国防、外交等诸多政策提出批评,进而对美国对外和国防政策造成深刻的影响。英国前首相撒切尔夫人对其评价:它可以提醒我们“时刻注意面临的危险”,居安思危,牢记“永远不缺潜在的侵略者”。
In 1996, Former Secretary of Defense Weinberger teamed up with Peter Schweitzer, a researcher at the Hoover Institute, to launch the strategic novels “Next War.” According to the Pentagon’s operational simulation, the book fully simulates and deduces the five most probable global wars in the next 20 years, namely: the Second Korean War, the Fourth Gulf War, the Second Pacific War, the Second Beauty Mexican war and the third world war. This book once appeared, caused a great sensation. Many U.S. political activists have criticized many U.S. national defense and diplomatic policies in this regard and have thus had a profound impact on U.S. foreign and defense policies. Former Former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher commented: It can remind us “always pay attention to the danger”, be vigilant in peace, keep in mind “will never lack potential aggressors.”