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目的通过对云南省陇川县缅甸边民滞留点麻疹爆发疫情持续发生、发展的风险及引起本地麻疹传播、进一步扩散的风险进行评估,为进一步采取科学有效的疫情应对措施提供参考。方法收集传染病报告信息管理系统、常规免疫监测信息系统、麻疹监测信息报告管理系统等麻疹疫情数据,结合世界卫生组织、政府及卫生行政部门、医疗卫生机构、现场调查、专业期刊等信息,采用专家会商法进行快速风险评估。结果麻疹输入疫情在滞留点进一步扩散的风险为高风险,引起陇川县本地麻疹传播、进一步扩散的风险为中风险。结论根据风险评估结果,针对不同地区(安置点、本地),不同人群(缅甸边民、本地边民)采取针对性措施,有效防控麻疹输入疫情,维持边疆稳定。
Objective To evaluate the risk of measles outbreak, the risk of development and the risk of local spread of measles and further spread of the measles outbreak in the remaining residents of Myanmar in Longchuan County, Yunnan Province, so as to provide reference for further taking a scientific and effective response to the outbreak. Methods Epidemic data of measles such as infectious disease reporting information management system, routine immunization monitoring information system and measles monitoring information report management system were collected. Combined with the information of World Health Organization, government and health administrative departments, medical and health institutions, field surveys and professional journals, Experts practice business law for rapid risk assessment. As a result, the risk of further spread of measles epidemic at the retention point was high risk, which caused the spread of local measles in Longchuan County. The risk of further spread was at risk. Conclusion According to the results of the risk assessment, targeted measures were taken in different areas (resettlement sites, localities) and different groups of people (Myanmar border residents and local border residents) to effectively prevent and control measles entry and maintain border stability.