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2015年,美国的经济复苏和美元走势都可能加强,但其债市和股市却有可能陷入剧烈波动;而中国经济增长率则可能温和下行,但A股和债市不会太坏。美国次贷危机以来,美债和美股的走势强劲,其中,美股自2009年以来只有一年的指数升幅低于10%。随着美国经济复苏势头的明朗化和量宽操作的加速退出,美联储加息是必然之举。因此,
In 2015, both the U.S. economy and the U.S. dollar may strengthen. However, the bond and stock markets may fluctuate violently. However, China’s economic growth rate may moderate down, but the A-shares and the bond market will not be too bad. Since the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States, the trend of US debt and US stocks has been strong. Among them, the US stock index has only enjoyed less than 10% growth in one year since 2009. As the U.S. economy reclaims its momentum and exits its mass operations, it is an inevitable move for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. therefore,