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由于全球价值链的发展,传统的贸易统计方法已难以反映国际贸易现状,传统贸易统计侧重于计算进出口总值,使得国际贸易出现“看似失衡”的局面。本文在分析传统贸易统计方法弊端的基础上,对增加值核算方法进行了梳理,认为增加值核算方法能够合理反映一国出口价值含量。以Koopman(2010)的研究方法为建模依据,对全球价值链分工体系下我国出口价值含量进行实证分析,以期对我国出口整体及各行业价值含量进行合理测算。结果显示,增加值核算能够较好地反映我国出口贸易现状,有助于提升我国在全球价值链中的地位,从而增加实际出口贸易收益。
Because of the development of the global value chain, the traditional trade statistics methods have hardly reflected the status quo of international trade. Traditional trade statistics focus on calculating the total value of imports and exports, making international trade appear “seemingly unbalanced ” situation. Based on the analysis of the shortcomings of the traditional trade statistics methods, this paper sorts out the value-added accounting methods and believes that the value-added accounting method can reasonably reflect the export value of a country. Based on Koopman’s (2010) research method, this paper empirically analyzes the value of China’s export under the division of labor in the global value chain so as to make a reasonable estimation on the total value of China’s exports and the value of each industry. The results show that value added accounting can better reflect the current situation of China’s export trade and help to enhance China’s position in the global value chain and thus increase the export earnings.