2012年9月北京市农产品市场行情变化情况监测报告

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9月份,北京市蔬菜产量和生猪出栏量小幅增加,鸡蛋产量同比大幅减少。批发市场蔬菜上市量处于历史同期较高水平,环比略有增加,其他主要农产品供应稳定。蔬菜价格同比高于2011年,猪肉价格低位平稳运行,鸡蛋价格环比涨幅较大。从市场情况看:价格方面,随着生产恢复以及市场供应增加,蔬菜价格下降,环比和同比降幅分别为12.9%和6.7%。猪肉市场行情趋好,月度价格环比呈现小幅上升走势。受中秋、国庆节日因素影响,鸡蛋价格环比上涨8.1%,已逼近2011年同期水平。牛羊肉价格持续历史高位运行,上行态势明显;淡水鱼价格运行平稳,环比下降4.9%,同比下降1.7%。上市量方面,蔬菜供应充足,上市量环比增加0.6%,同比增加7.5%;鸡蛋上市量环比减少,猪肉、鸡肉和牛羊肉上市量环比增加,淡水鱼上市量基本平稳。后市趋势分析:随着秋茬蔬菜供应期的来临,预计未来两个月北京市蔬菜价格先降后升;中秋和国庆过后,消费需求减少,猪肉价格将转入下行,价格维持小幅波动走势;鸡蛋价格稳中趋降,12月份鸡蛋价格可能会有小幅上涨行情。 In September, the output of vegetables in Beijing and the slaughter of hogs slightly increased, while the output of eggs dropped significantly year on year. The market volume of vegetables on the wholesale market was at a high level in the same period of history, a slight increase from the previous month while the supply of other major agricultural products remained stable. Vegetable prices year-on-year higher than in 2011, pork prices remained stable, egg prices rose more than the chain. From the market conditions: prices, with the recovery of production and market supply increased, vegetable prices, the chain and year-on-year decline of 12.9% and 6.7%. Pork market conditions are getting better, the monthly price chain showed a slight upward trend. Affected by the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day holiday, the price of eggs rose 8.1% MoM, approaching the same period in 2011. The price of beef and mutton continued to go up from high level to high level. The price of freshwater fish kept stable, down 4.9% from the previous month and down 1.7% from the same period of last year. In terms of listing volume, the supply of vegetables was sufficient. The listing volume increased by 0.6% quarter-on-quarter and 7.5% year-on-year. The listing volume of eggs decreased sequentially, while the listing volume of pork, chicken and beef and mutton increased in a chain mode and the listing volume of freshwater fish was basically stable. Market trend analysis: With the advent of autumn crop supply period, the price of vegetables in Beijing is expected to drop first and then rise in the next two months; after Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, consumer demand will decrease, pork prices will move lower and prices will fluctuate slightly; Egg prices steadily declining, December egg prices may rise slightly.
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