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国家统计局中国经济景气监测中心进行的中国百名经济学家信心调查显示,2011年一季度经济学家信心指数为4.86(取值范围在1-9之间),比去年四季度降低0.2点,重新回到景气线下方,为2009年二季度以来的最低位。调查表明,通胀预期和房地产调控压力居高不下以及趋紧的宏观政策导致经济学家对经济运行风险的担忧上升,降低了经济学家信心。经济学家对当前经济形势的判断和对未来的预期经济学家对当前经济状况判断好于对未来的预期,经济学家信心指数继续在当前尚满意、预期不乐观的第四象
A survey of one hundred economists in China conducted by the China National Economy Monitoring Center conducted by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that in the first quarter of 2011, the economist’s confidence index was 4.86 (ranged from 1 to 9), down 0.2 point from the fourth quarter of last year. Back to the bottom of the boom line, the lowest since the second quarter of 2009. The survey shows that inflation expectations and real estate regulation and control pressures remain high and tightening macroeconomic policies led economists to raise concerns about the economic risk and reduce the confidence of economists. Economists’ Judgment of the Current Economic Situation and Expectation on the Future Economists’ judgment on the current economic conditions is better than expectation on the future. Economists’ confidence index continues to be satisfied with the current situation and the fourth is not expected to be optimistic