论文部分内容阅读
中国是能源消费大国,随着经济的增长,能源消费一直处于不断上升的趋势,高耗能不但带来能源安全的问题,还有环境污染的代价,故本文运用LMDI Ⅰ法(logistics Mean Division Index)对2004～2007年的中国能源消费进行分解分析,找出能源消费高居不下的原因,为政策的制定提供导向。结论:产出效应对能源消费量的增长作用较大,其中制造业的产出效应最大;各行业的结构调整对能源消费的减少作用明显,并且结构效应对能源消费的减少逐年利好;对于能源强度,各行业都还有减少的空间,即有望通过技术进步提高能源效率等增大强度效应控制能源消费增长的作用。
China is a big energy consuming country. As the economy grows, the energy consumption has been on the rise. The high energy consumption not only brings the problem of energy security, but also the cost of environmental pollution. Therefore, this paper uses LMDI Ⅰ method (logistics Mean Division Index) ) Analyzed the energy consumption in China from 2004 to 2007 to find out the reasons for the high energy consumption and provided guidance for the formulation of policies. Conclusion: The output effect has a great effect on the growth of energy consumption, of which the output effect of manufacturing industry is the largest. The structural adjustment of various industries has a significant reduction effect on energy consumption, and the structural effect on energy consumption has been declining year by year. For energy Intensity, there is still room for reduction in all industries, that is, it is expected to increase the energy efficiency and increase the energy consumption to control the growth of energy consumption through technological progress.