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  5. Spatio-temporal trends Dynamics Model for Shigella from 2001 to 2011 in Jiangsu Province, People

Spatio-temporal trends Dynamics Model for Shigella from 2001 to 2011 in Jiangsu Province, People

来源 :中国卫生统计(生物统计)2014学术年会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户：eternaty
【摘 要】
：
Objectives: This study aimed to describe the spatial and temporal trends of Shigella incidence rates in Jiangsu Province, Peoples Republic of China.It also intended to explore complex risk modes facil
【作 者】
：
Zhihang Peng Feng Chen 
【机 构】
：
Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nan
【出 处】
：
中国卫生统计(生物统计)2014学术年会
【发表日期】
：
2014年3期
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论文部分内容阅读
Objectives: This study aimed to describe the spatial and temporal trends of Shigella incidence rates in Jiangsu Province, Peoples Republic of China.It also intended to explore complex risk modes facilitating Shigella transmission.Methods: County-level incidence rates were obtained for analysis using geographic information system (GIS) tools.Trend surface and incidence maps were established to describe geographic distributions.Spatio-temporal cluster analysis and autocorrelation analysis were used for detecting clusters.Based on the number of monthly Shigella cases, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model successfully established a time series model.A spatial correlation analysis and a case-control study were conducted to identify risk factors contributing to Shigella transmissions.
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