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建立概念性水文模型并应用概念水文模型模拟了新疆墨玉县灌区水资源供需状况 ,经与观测资料对比和当地工程技术人员实际经验判断表明 ,该结果基本符合实际。其优越性在于 :可通过观测资料和实践经验检验模拟结果的可靠性 ,从而分析水资源历史供需状况 ,具有较高可信性。
The conceptual hydrological model is established and the conceptual hydrological model is applied to simulate the supply and demand of water resources in the irrigation area of Moyu County in Xinjiang. Comparing with the observed data and the actual experience of the local engineering technicians, the results are basically in line with the actual conditions. Its superiority lies in: Through the observation data and practical experience to test the reliability of simulation results, thus analyzing the history of water supply and demand, with high credibility.