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现代经济发展的显著特征是,一方面,对外贸易对于推动经济的快速发展做出了巨大贡献;另一方面,金融服务业也在蓬勃兴起,在现今的社会发展中发挥着越来越重要的作用。本文利用协整方法和VAR模型对此进行分析,实证研究结果指出,对外贸易和金融服务与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,上海市经济增长和外贸出口总额、金融相关比率、金融效率都存在着双向的因果关系。
The notable feature of modern economic development is that on the one hand, foreign trade has made a tremendous contribution to promoting the rapid economic development; on the other hand, the financial services industry is also booming and playing an increasingly important role in today’s social development effect. In this paper, cointegration method and VAR model are used to analyze this. The empirical results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between foreign trade and financial services and economic growth. Both Shanghai’s economic growth and total foreign trade exports, financial-related ratios, and financial efficiency There is a two-way causal relationship.