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细察证据科学的国际发展状况,统计数字和统计理念似有大幅度席卷证据领域之势。然而,当前的众多法律工作者似乎尚未做好应对大数据时代洪流之势的准备。且不说形式多样的证据类型让其应接不暇,单是接受带有统计理念的的新型证据已让其望而却步。我们并不奢望每一个法律工作者都如同专业技术人员一样,横扫多门类自然科学知识,深入掌握科学证据的理论细节;但是,贯穿于多种科学证据形式之间的通用证据理念与证据适用方法着实值得司法实践者去深入了解,统计学方法便是其中之一。潜藏于证据信息凝练过程中的多元统计分析,适用于证据评价过程中的似然率,以及根植于证据解释过程中的贝叶斯原理……这些看似遥远的统计学问题都已悄然降临至与法律实务相关科学证据报告之中,成为法律工作者必须跨越的阅读门槛。
Examining the Evidence The international developments in science, statistics and statistical concepts seem to have greatly eroded the field of evidence. However, many current legal workers do not seem ready to deal with the torrent of the big data era. Not to mention the wide variety of types of evidence that make it overwhelming, it has been prohibitive to accept new evidence with statistical ideas alone. We do not expect every legal worker, like a professional technician, to sweep through various kinds of natural science knowledge and grasp the theoretical details of scientific evidence. However, the universal evidence concept and method of evidence applied throughout the various forms of scientific evidence It is indeed worthwhile for judicial practitioners to gain an in-depth understanding of statistical methods as one of them. Multivariate statistical analysis that is latent in the conciseness of evidential information applies to the likelihood ratio in the evaluation of evidence and to the Bayesian principle rooted in the process of evidence interpretation ... These seemingly distant statistical problems have quietly come down to Among the scientific evidence related to legal practice, it has become a reading threshold that legal workers must cross.