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观察过去三十年我国城市警情数据的变化,以及宏观经济指标观测值的波动,可以发现,城市警情与经济波动之间似乎存在某种相关性。长期以来,犯罪学界也持有犯罪问题和经济发展相关的观点。文章利用描述统计学、斯皮尔曼等级相关系数非参数测量方法等统计学方法,通过对Z市Z县2011至2013这三年的警情及经济的统计研究分析,否定了城市警情与经济波动之间显著相关性的假设。
Observing the changes in the urban police intelligence data and the fluctuations in macroeconomic indicators over the past three decades, we can see that there seems to be some correlation between urban police intelligence and economic fluctuations. For a long time, criminology also holds the viewpoints related to crime and economic development. By using statistical methods such as descriptive statistics and non-parametric measurement of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, the article analyzes the police intelligence and economic statistics of the Z-Z Z cities from 2011 to 2013 and negates the urban police intelligence and economy The hypothesis of significant correlation between volatility.