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展望90年代的西方经济,西方舆论大体上有三种不同的预测:一种认为,90年代很可能是20世纪中最繁荣的10年;一种认为,90年代的经济形势略好于80年代;一种认为,90年代的经济形势比80年代还要差一些,经济增长速度将继续放慢。人们主要根据各种因素的变化和影响来预测未来经济的发展趋势,但由于对各种因素可能变化的分析和判断不同,因而对经济前景的预测也完全不同。美国《商业日报》主编埃里克森认为,只要不发生新的世界大战和另一次石油禁运或者类似的大灾难,90
Looking at the western economies of the 1990s, there are generally three different kinds of forecasts in Western media: one is that the 1990s are likely to be the most prosperous 10 years in the 20th century; the other is that the economic situation in the 1990s was slightly better than in the 1980s; One thinks that the economic situation in the 1990s was even worse than in the 1980s and the rate of economic growth will continue to slow down. People predict the development trend of the future economy mainly based on the changes and influences of various factors. However, due to the different analysis and judgment on the possible changes of various factors, the prediction of economic prospects is completely different. According to Erickson, chief editor of the U.S. “Business Daily,” as long as the New World War and another oil embargo or similar catastrophe do not occur,