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导致道路交通事故的因素很多,比如气候、周围环境、道路空间结构、路上的行人、机动车驾驶人、汽车的速度以及性能、公路里程、某地区或国家的机动车保有量以及国民生产总值等。但其中,国家的机动车保有量起着决定性作用。本文建立最小二乘法道路交通事故预测模型,为道路交通建设和交通管理措施的制定提供理论依据,从而减少事故的发生,减少国家、集体以及个人经济利益的损失。
There are many factors that cause road accidents, such as the climate, the surrounding environment, the spatial structure of roads, the number of pedestrians, motorists, the speed and performance of vehicles, the mileage of roads, the number of motor vehicles in a given area or country, Wait. However, the country’s motor vehicle ownership plays a decisive role. This paper establishes a least square method of road traffic accident prediction model to provide theoretical basis for the development of road traffic construction and traffic management measures to reduce the incidence of accidents and reduce the loss of the economic interests of the state, the collective and individuals.