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正如莱斯特·布朗在《挑战》杂志1982年1-2月号上发表的文章《世界粮食的前景:马尔萨斯的阴影》这一标题所表明的,他对于世界粮食的前景简直是太悲观了。我们则认为,事态的发展很可能会同布朗所预料的截然相反。倘若种种历史趋势持续下去,粮食境况将会好转,而不会变得更坏。我们之所以作出这样的预言,是因为按照我们的解释,有关过去的种种趋势的数据显示出与布朗所说的全然不同的景象;我们认为,他所做的各种预测,凭借的是一些靠经验得出来的错误前提。
As Least Brown’s title in “The Future of Food in the World: The Malthus’s Shadow,” published in the January-February 1982 issue of Challenge magazine, shows that he is simply too pessimistic about the future of world food . In our view, developments are likely to be diametrically opposed to what Brown expected. If all these historical trends continue, the food situation will be better, and will not get worse. We make such predictions because, according to our explanation, the data on the past trends show a completely different picture than what Brown said. We think his predictions are based on a number of The wrong premise of experience.