经济危机背景下的中国可持续发展战略:绿色左翼视角

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本文对中国在2008~2009年世界金融与经济危机中的战略性应对做了一种“绿色左翼”视角下的政治生态学分析。经济增长率高位恢复的结果当然是一个重大的经济与政治成就,也是对中央政府提出的“保增长、扩内需、调结构”危机应对战略正确性的最好验证,但如果从可持续发展的更高更长远目标视角来看,更多依赖政府主导的大规模公共投资来保持增长与稳定就业的战略及其实施存在着相当的被迫与无奈成分,可以说是有得有失。我们必须看到,中国改革开放以来经济社会发展所面临的深层次难题并没有得到真正解决,反而在某种程度上加重或突出了。对于后危机时代的中国而言,从大局说,我们必须花大力气充实完善经济、社会和生态复杂综合体中的社会发展与生态和谐向度,也就是追求经济、社会与生态之间一种更加协调的发展;而从经济向度说,我们必须尽快实现一种从外需出口依赖型向内需消费主导型的经济发展。不仅如此,我们还必须保持二者之间的合理张力,特别是用前者来统摄后者,否则,我们至多会走向一个美国式的大众消费社会。即便那条道路能够成功,中国的未来也不可能是一个社会公正与生态可持续的社会。同样可以肯定的是,鉴于中国即将获得的世界第二大经济体的地位,这样一种深刻的绿色转型绝不会仅仅发生在或局限于主权国家本身的层面。 This paper analyzes the political ecology of China from the perspective of “green left-wing” to the strategic response of China in the global financial and economic crisis of 2008-2009. The result of the high economic growth rate recovery is, of course, a major economic and political achievement. It is also the best verification of the correctness of the crisis response strategy proposed by the Central Government. However, if sustainable development is sustainable From the perspective of the higher and longer-term goals of development, there is considerable pressure and helplessness to rely more on the government-led large-scale public investment to maintain growth and stabilize employment. It can be said that there are gains and losses. We must realize that the deep-seated problems that China has faced in its economic and social development since its reform and opening up have not really been solved, but to a certain extent, it has been aggravated or highlighted. For China in the post-crisis era, from the overall situation, we must make great efforts to enrich and perfect the social development and ecological harmony in the complicated economic, social and ecological complex, that is, to pursue a kind of economic, social and ecological More coordinated development; and from an economic perspective, we must realize as soon as possible a type of export-dependent dependence on domestic consumption-led economic development. Not only that, we must also maintain a reasonable tension between the two, especially with the former to take the latter, otherwise, we will at most go to an American-style mass consumer society. Even if that path is successful, China’s future can not be a socially just and ecologically sustainable society. Equally certain, given the status of China, the second largest economy in the world to be acquired, such a profound green transformation will not happen or be limited to the sovereign state itself.
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