一、不确定情况下决策的误差决策可能在确定的或不确定的情况下进行。在确定的情况下,各个行动方案的结果都是明确的,较易进行比较。在不确定的情况下,即使是同一方案,其结果也不可能一样。例如,某公司需就是否经营一种新产品作决策。不经营自然不发生盈亏。但如果经营,则其盈亏取决于该产品的销路:销路好,每年可得利润200万元;销路差,则不但无利可图,每年还会亏损100万元。对于这类情况不确定的决策,通常都用期望 First, the decision-making error decision under uncertain circumstances may be carried out under certain or uncertain conditions. In the given circumstances, the results of each action plan are clear and easy to compare. In the uncertain case, even if it is the same plan, the result cannot be the same. For example, a company needs to make decisions about whether to run a new product. Naturally, no profit or loss will occur. However, if it is operated, its profit and loss will depend on the sales of the product: if it sells well, it will have a profit of RMB 2 million a year. If it is sold poorly, it will not only be unprofitable, but will also make a loss of RMB 1 million a year. Uncertain decisions in this type of situation usually use expectations