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美韩自由贸易协定于2012年3月正式生效。美国与韩国是中国重要的贸易合作伙伴,中国与美韩两国在出口产品结构上存在着一定程度的相似性,该协议生效势必会影响中国与美韩两国之间的贸易关系,给中国对外贸易带来不可轻视的负面影响。本文通过出口相似度指数和显示性比较优势指数测算,结合美韩FTA关税与非关税递减模式,分别从总体和部门两方面入手,具体分析美韩FTA生效给中国带来的贸易替代效应,并就出口面临的挑战,提出对策建议。
The U.S.-South Korea Free Trade Agreement came into effect in March 2012. The United States and South Korea are important trade partners for China. There is a certain degree of similarity between China and the United States and South Korea in the structure of export products. The entry into force of the agreement will inevitably affect the trade relations between China and the United States and South Korea and give China’s external The negative impact that trade can not underestimate. Based on the export similarity index and the display comparative advantage index, combined with the tariff reduction and non-tariff reduction mode of FTA in the United States and South Korea, this paper analyzes the trade substitution effect brought by FTA in China and the United States from the overall and the department respectively On the export challenge, put forward countermeasures and suggestions.