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金融危机引起的经济衰退,主要是通过资金链条的断裂,引发企业经营困难和订单下降,进而引起相关行业和整个社会的生产下降和经济衰退。大连作为一个口岸城市,口岸贸易、口岸物流以及临港临海产业是这座城市的主导产业。无论作为内陆贸易通道来说还是作为口岸城市来说,大连的对外依存度都是很高的。此次席卷全球的美国金融风暴最先波及到我国的就是进出口贸易和相关产业。受欧美国家需求萎缩的影响,我国出口贸易2008年前三季度增速回落4.8个百分点,净出口对经济增长的拉动比上年同期减少1.2个百分点。其中首先是一些纺织、服饰、家具类劳动密集型产品的出口急剧下降,其次就是航运业、港口业以及相关制造业、冶金行业等。2008年1—9月大连市规模以上工业完成出口交货值1202.7亿元,比去年同期回落12.5个百分点。据了解在大连的家具厂商中,年产值在3000万以上的大规模企业,90%以上都是以出口业务为主,到目前为止,对外出口订单较之以往至少减少三到四成。此外,大连的钢铁、冶金、汽车、家电、建筑、机械、造船等行业也不同程度地受到了下滑压力,一些企业开始减产、减薪甚至减员,以应对寒冬。预计到2009年第一、二季度,境外衰退的影响还可能发生进一步的滞后效应。
The economic recession caused by the financial crisis is mainly caused by the breaking of the capital chain, causing difficulties in business operation and declining orders, which in turn leads to the decline of production and recession in the relevant industries and society as a whole. Dalian, as a port city, port trade, port logistics and port coastal industry is the city’s leading industry. Dalian’s dependence on foreign countries is very high both as an inland trade channel and as a port city. The U.S. financial crisis that swept the globe first came to our country is the import-export trade and related industries. Affected by the shrinking demand in Europe and the United States, the growth rate of China’s export trade in the first three quarters of 2008 dropped by 4.8 percentage points. The net export stimulus for economic growth decreased by 1.2 percentage points over the same period of last year. First of all, the export of some labor-intensive products such as textiles, apparel and furniture dropped sharply, followed by the shipping industry, port industry and related manufacturing and metallurgical industries. From January to September 2008, the export delivery value of large-scale industrial enterprises in Dalian reached 120.27 billion yuan, down 12.5 percentage points from the same period of last year. It is understood that in Dalian furniture manufacturers, the annual output value of more than 30 million large-scale enterprises, more than 90% are based on export business, so far, the export orders abroad at least reduced than three to four into. In addition, Dalian’s steel, metallurgy, automobile, household appliances, construction, machinery, shipbuilding and other industries also suffered varying degrees of downward pressure on some enterprises began to cut production, pay cuts and even downsizing to cope with the winter. Expected in the first quarter of 2009, the impact of overseas recession may occur further lag effect.