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本文研究了从2008~2014年泰国、印度尼西亚、马来西亚和菲律宾四国对中国的进出口是否受人民币兑各国货币汇率变化的影响。结果表明,这四个国家对中国的进口受到人民币兑各国货币汇率变化的显著性影响,而出口则基本不受人民币兑各国货币汇率变化的影响。故而得出结论:人民币汇率变动对东盟这四个国家对中国的进口贸易是有一定影响的,但对出口没有影响。
This article examines whether the import and export of China to Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines from 2008 to 2014 was affected by changes in the exchange rate of the Renminbi against foreign currencies. The results showed that the import of these four countries to China was significantly affected by the change in the exchange rate of RMB against the currencies of other countries, while exports were basically not affected by changes in the exchange rate of RMB against the currencies of other countries. Therefore, it is concluded that changes in the exchange rate of the RMB will have a certain impact on ASEAN’s four countries’ imports to China, but it will have no effect on exports.