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2008年是越南经济动荡的一年。通货膨胀和贸易赤字激增,随后发生逆转;经济增长放缓,预计2009年将进一步缓和,2010年将开始回升。预计这两年通货膨胀将相对较低,经常账户赤字预计在2009年有所扩大而在2010年将缩小。主要的短期挑战来自于限制经济增长减缓的同时,保持财政和经常账户赤字处于可控之中。从中期来看,政府需在加速推动增长同时又不能引发通货膨胀和使经常账户赤字扩大。
2008 is a year of turmoil in Vietnam. The surge in inflation and trade deficits followed a reversal; the slowdown in economic growth is expected to ease further in 2009 and will begin to pick up in 2010. It is expected that inflation will be relatively low in the past two years and the current account deficit is expected to widen in 2009 and to narrow in 2010. The main short-term challenge stems from limiting the slowdown in economic growth while keeping the fiscal and current account deficits under control. In the medium term, the government needs to accelerate growth without causing inflation and widening the current-account deficit.