Growth simulation and yield prediction for perennial jujube fruit tree by integrating age into the W

来源 :农业科学学报(英文) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:jz1120
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Mathematical models have been widely employed for the simulation of growth dynamics of annual crops, thereby performing yield prediction, but not for fruit tree species such as jujube tree (Zizyphus jujuba). The objectives of this study were to investigate the potential use of a modified WOFOST model for predicting jujube yield by introducing tree age as a key parameter. The model was established using data collected from dedicated field experiments performed in 2016–2018. Simulated growth dynamics of dry weights of leaves, stems, fruits, total biomass and leaf area index (LAI) agreed well with measured values, showing root mean square error (RMSE) values of 0.143, 0.333, 0.366, 0.624 t ha–1 and 0.19, and R2 values of 0.947, 0.976, 0.985, 0.986 and 0.95, respectively. Simulated phenological development stages for emergence, anthesis and maturity were 2, 3 and 3 days earlier than the observed values, respectively. In addition, in order to predict the yields of trees with different ages, the weight of new organs (initial buds and roots) in each growing season was introduced as the initial total dry weight (TDWI), which was calculated as averaged, fitted and optimized values of trees with the same age. The results showed the evolution of the simulated LAI and yields profiled in response to the changes in TDWI. The modelling performance was significantly improved when it considered TDWI integrated with tree age, showing good global (R2≥0.856, RMSE≤0.68 t ha–1) and local accuracies (mean R2≥0.43, RMSE≤0.70 t ha–1). Furthermore, the optimized TDWI exhibited the highest precision, with globally validated R2 of 0.891 and RMSE of 0.591 t ha–1, and local mean R2 of 0.57 and RMSE of 0.66 t ha–1, respectively. The proposed model was not only verified with the confidence to accurately predict yields of jujube, but it can also provide a fundamental strategy for simulating the growth of other fruit trees.
其他文献
The objective of this study was to investigate the effect of lactic acid bacteria (LAB) inoculums on fermentation quality and in vitro digestibility of c stover
QseBC是一种普遍存在于细菌的双组分调控系统(two-component regulatory system,TCS),能感应细胞外环境因子信号,在调控细菌毒力中发挥着重要作用.为了研究嗜水气单胞菌(Aero
长期栖息于潮间带的动物能够感知当地的潮汐规律,形成潮汐记忆的能力.本研究以栖息于潮间带的瘤背石磺(Onchidium reevesii)为对象,研究其通过感知潮汐来临时产生的低频声音
[目的]蜡质是植物表面的一种重要保护物质,筛选和鉴定水稻蜡质相关突变体有助于解析水稻蜡质形成的遗传机制.[方法]利用EMS诱变籼稻品种湘早籼6号,从突变体库中筛选出一个蜡
[目的]研究不同机直播方式对南方优质晚籼稻茎秆抗倒伏能力及产量的影响,为南方优质晚籼稻高产抗倒栽培提供参考.[方法]以籼型常规稻品种黄华占和籼型杂交稻品种泰优398为材
期刊
Maize (Zea mays L.) stands prominently as one of the major cereal crops in China as well as in the rest of the world. Therefore, predicting the growth and yield
The cotton direct seeding after wheat (rape) harvested is under trial and would be the future direction at the Yangtze River Valley region of China. The objecti
The present study investigates the expression of microphthalmia-associated transcription factor (MITF) and its contribution to the melanin deposition in Lianche
[目的]探明秸秆还田和氮肥管理对麦/油后直播杂交稻氮素积累、转运、氮肥利用效率及籽粒产量的影响.[方法]选用优质三系杂交稻宜香优2115,采用二因素裂区设计,麦、油茬田同步