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本文通过建立中国对欧盟农产品出口贸易的引力模型,来分析欧盟东扩对中欧农产品贸易的影响。在模型中引入了一个新的虚拟变量EUE来反映欧盟东扩对中欧农产品贸易的影响,经过实证验证,欧盟东扩会对中欧农产品贸易产生不利影响。最后,针对这些不利影响分别对政府和农产品生产出口企业提出了相应的建议。
This article analyzes the impact of the EU’s eastward expansion on the trade of agricultural products between China and the EU by establishing a gravity model for the export trade of agricultural products between China and the EU. A new dummy variable EUE was introduced into the model to reflect the impact of the EU’s eastward expansion on the agricultural trade between China and the EU. Empirically verified, the EU’s eastward expansion will adversely affect the trade of China-EU agricultural products. In the end, corresponding suggestions are given to the government and agricultural production and export enterprises against these adverse effects respectively.