据农业部市场预警系统监测,生产方面:受供求影响,去年新棉上市后价格一路下跌,种棉效益相对较低,今年农户种植热情减弱。预计棉花面积将比上年减少10%以上,三大棉区中,黄河流域减幅最大,其次是长江流域,新疆棉区保持稳定。国内供求判断:2004/05年度,尽管我国的棉花产量达历史最 According to the Ministry of Agriculture market early warning system monitoring, production: affected by supply and demand, the price of new cotton last year after the listing all the way down, cotton is relatively low efficiency, enthusiasm for this year’s farmers weakened. The area of ​​cotton is expected to decrease by 10% over the previous year. Among the three major cotton areas, the Yellow River valley recorded the largest decrease, followed by the Yangtze River valley and the Xinjiang cotton area remained stable. Judgments on domestic supply and demand: In 2004/05, although China’s cotton output reached the highest level in history