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一、2002年国内外 铝市场回顾 1.国际市场区间振荡,国内市场大起大落。全年伦敦金属交易所三个月期货合约价格的波动范围局限于1280～1450美元/吨之间,多空双方都没有得到足以打破窄幅振荡格局的利器。市场上始终缺乏有分量的利多或利空因素。而全球市场供过于求的状况使得这种平衡的重心仍比去年有很大程度的下移。 国内铝市场特别是现货市场,价格走势极为动荡。前三个季度,价格反复偏软,现货价格再度跌到了1.3万元/吨。但从下半年开始,尤其是在4季度,随着国内铝消费逐渐升温,铝锭大量出口的效果开始显现,使得国内原铝供应出现了
I. Review of Domestic and Foreign Aluminum Market in 2002 1. Oscillation in international market fluctuated greatly in the domestic market. In the whole year, the fluctuation range of the prices of three-month futures contracts on the London Metal Exchange was limited to between 1280 and 1450 US dollars / ton, and both the long and short sides did not get enough tools to break the narrow-band oscillation pattern. There is always a lack of weight or negative factors on the market. The global market oversupply situation, however, has made the focus of this balance much lower than last year. The domestic aluminum market, especially the spot market, the price trend is extremely volatile. The first three quarters, the price repeatedly soft, the spot price dropped to 13,000 yuan / ton. However, since the second half of the year, especially in the fourth quarter, with the gradual warming of domestic aluminum consumption, the effect of heavy aluminum ingot exports began to emerge, making the supply of domestic primary aluminum appear