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一、中国经济金融1~8月运行的基本态势: 第一,1~8月中国经济增长持续在下降通道内地运行,但部分统计指标显示出回升迹象。在1996年底中国经济顺利实现了宏观调控的“软着陆”。但是,进入1997年以来,特别是在下半年,经济增长开始出现较大幅度的回落,而且物价总水平持续走低,1997年经济增长速度为8.8%,比1996年下降了0.8个百分点,通货膨胀率仅是0.85,比1996年下降了5.3个百分点。 从1998年上半年的形势看,经济增长继续在下行通道运行。GDP比去年同期增长7%,增速回落2.5个百分点,工业增加值增长7.9%,增速较第一季度低0.3个百分点,比同期回落3个百分点。其原因主要是受到亚洲金融危机的影响,利用外资和国内企业的出口受阻,外贸出口增长率大幅度下降,国内市场销售尤其是轻工产品市场销售增长缓慢。
First, the basic trend of China’s economy and finance from January to August: First, from January to August, China’s economic growth continued to operate in the downward channel, but some of the statistical indicators showed signs of recovery. By the end of 1996, China’s economy successfully realized the “soft landing” of macro-control. However, since 1997, especially in the second half of the year, the economic growth started to drop by a relatively large margin and the general price level continued to drop. The economic growth rate in 1997 was 8.8%, a drop of 0.8 percentage point over 1996. The inflation rate Only 0.85, down 5.3 percentage points from 1996. From the situation in the first half of 1998, economic growth continued to operate in the downward spiral. GDP growth of 7% over the same period last year, growth rate down 2.5 percentage points, industrial added value increased 7.9% growth rate lower than the first quarter 0.3 percentage points, down 3 percentage points over the same period. The main reason was the impact of the Asian financial crisis. The use of foreign investment and the export of domestic enterprises were hindered. The growth rate of export trade dropped drastically. Sales in the domestic market, especially in light industrial products, were slow to grow.