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运用均生函数逐步回归方法制作吉林省玉米春季始播期(≥7℃初日)预测,结果表明以序列长度为36年的试验效果最好。用长春1961~1997年的资料计算了全省1998、1999、2000年的≥7℃初日分别是4月中旬、4月中旬末至4月下旬初、4月下旬。
The prediction of spring seeding period (≥7 ℃ first day) of maize in Jilin Province was made by means of stepwise regression with a mean of birth function. The results showed that the test with the best length of 36 years was the best. The data of Changchun from 1961 to 1997 were used to calculate the first day of ≥7 ℃ in 1998, 1999 and 2000 of the whole province from mid April, from the middle of April to early April and late April respectively.