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本文使用2015年京郊山区农村老年人养老调查数据,运用Logistic回归模型分析了老年人意愿居住安排及其影响因素。结果表明,老年人意愿养老方式主要以家庭养老为主,性别、年龄、健康状况及子女数量是影响老年人意愿居住安排的主要因素,男性、健康状况较差、仅有1个儿子的老年人更倾向与子女同住,年龄越大越倾向于不与子女同住。值得关注的是,农村老年人与子女共同居住的比例远低于意愿共同居住的比例,农村家庭养老费源萎缩对完善农村养老保障服务体系提出了迫切要求。
In this paper, we use the data of old-age rural elderly survey in Beijing suburbs in 2015 to analyze the living arrangements of the elderly and its influencing factors by Logistic regression model. The results show that the elderly are mainly dependent on the way of endowment, and the main factors affecting the living arrangement of the elderly are gender, age, health status and number of children. Men, poor health status, only one son’s elderly More inclined to live with their children, the older the more inclined not to live with their children. It is noteworthy that the proportion of elderly people living with children in rural areas is much lower than the proportion of willing to live together. The shrinking of rural family pension funds has put forward urgent requirements on improving rural social security service system.