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全球经济总体低位运行,我觉得这个是确定的。全球金融危机以后我们可以看到,整个全球经济增长的曲线,除了2010年有一个反弹以后,它持续地往下走,今年的全球经济增长速度是3.1%左右。在过去的几年里,很多人说经济增长再往下走会进入衰退,很多人说经济经历了下跌以后应该强劲反弹。所有人都错了,经济持续地下降,但是没有危机,我们今天是处于一个低的均衡水平。
The overall low-level global economy, I think this is certain. After the global financial crisis, we can see that the entire global economic growth curve has continued to go down after a rebound in 2010, and the global economic growth this year is about 3.1%. In the past few years, many people said that economic growth would go further into recession, and many people said that the economy should rebound strongly after the decline. All are wrong, the economy continues to decline, but there is no crisis and we are at a low equilibrium today.