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2016年以来,中国棉花市场出现了一些新情况。棉纺企业库存水平下降,棉花、棉纱进口量大幅下滑,纺织品服装出口有所恢复,储备棉投放成交率极高。国内棉花供需格局阶段性偏紧,皮棉价格先跌后涨,国际棉价窄幅震荡。展望下半年,国内棉花产量将继续下降,国际棉花供需宽松,储备棉出库将放缓,外棉冲击减弱,供需大格局无明显变化,国内棉价将窄幅震荡。
Since 2016, there have been some new developments in China’s cotton market. Cotton inventories declined, cotton, cotton yarn imports fell sharply, textile and garment exports have recovered, the reserve cotton delivery rate is very high. Domestic cotton supply and demand pattern of the stage tight, lint prices rose and then rose, the international cotton prices fluctuated within a narrow range. Looking into the second half of the year, the domestic cotton production will continue to decline. The international cotton supply and demand will be relaxed. The reserve cotton will be slowed down and the external cotton impact will be weakened. There will be no obvious change in the pattern of supply and demand. The domestic cotton price will fluctuate within a narrow range.