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我们在今年初的一篇调查报告中曾经估计,一九八二年五月至十二月席卷几乎整个印尼大地的一场严重旱灾已经使印尼的稻米生产趋于停顿,并将使一九八三年印尼稻米产量下降百分之三十。目前看来,当时的估计未免偏于悲观。印尼官方的估计是:一九八二年稻米增产九十万吨,总产量达到二千三百二十万吨。只要雨量正常,一九八三年产量可达到与上年相近的数字。上述官方估计,为非官方观察家们所接受。正像一位观察
In a survey released earlier this year, we estimated that a serious drought sweeping over almost the entire land of Indonesia from May to December of 1982 has brought the rice production in Indonesia to a standstill and will bring 198 Three-year rice output in Indonesia dropped by 30%. At the moment, the estimates at that time were rather pessimistic. Indonesia’s official estimation is that in 1982, the output of paddy increased 900,000 tons and the total output reached 23.2 million tons. As long as the rainfall is normal, the production in 1983 will reach the figure similar to the previous year. The above official estimates are accepted by unofficial observers. Just like an observation