塔吉克斯坦的一批研究人员提出了震源发展的新模式。他们首先提出热过程在震源孕育中的作用,在此之前这点并未引起科学家的注意。地震和抗震建筑研究所副所长米尔佐耶夫对这项工作进行了评述。他谈到,地震从来就不会没有征兆。人们已经知道几十种仪器记录到的前兆,其中有地面形变、岩石电阻率变化、地壳的物理化学特征、地下水流量及地下水中某些成份,如氦、氡和其它元素的浓度等。这些前兆中有一些在震前几个月可以记到,其它前兆可在临震前观测到。然而,有许多前兆几乎总是构成各式各样的、非常复杂的图象。某些前兆是在很大范围内记录到的,并非总能成功地预测未来的热点——地震震中。未来地震孕育的一切图象,通常就象把原文已精心地编成密码 A group of researchers in Tajikistan put forward a new mode of source development. They first proposed the role of thermal processes in source generation, which did not attract the attention of scientists until then. Mirzoyev, deputy director of the Institute of Earthquake and Seismic Architecture, commented on the work. He said that the earthquake would never be without warning. There are already decades of precursors recorded by instruments, including surface deformation, changes in resistivity of rocks, physico-chemical characteristics of the earth’s crust, groundwater flows and the concentrations of certain elements in groundwater such as helium, radon and other elements. Some of these precursors can be remembered months before the earthquake, and other precursors can be observed just prior to the quake. However, there are many precursors that almost always constitute a wide variety of very complex images. Some precursors were recorded to a large extent and not always successful in predicting the hotspot of the future - the earthquake epicenter. The images of the future earthquakes are usually just as carefully codified as the original text