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首先论述概论,其中包括:1)阐述了害虫综合管理(IPM)技术,明确了水稻害虫综合管理的现状及存在的问题,并指出;人的因素是IPM成败的关键。2)首先提出了害虫防治经历了定性研究、定量研究以及定性和定量综合一体研究3个阶段的观点。因此,能够综合利用定性信息(包括专家知识)和定量信息的专家系统(系统中包含模型)的研制和应用,有助于作出更高层次的决策。可以认为,这将是IPM,特别是生态系统综合管理的发展方向。
First of all, an overview is given, which includes: 1) Describing the technology of integrated pest management (IPM), identifying the current situation and existing problems of integrated pest management and pointing out that human factors are the key to the success or failure of IPM. 2) Firstly, put forward the viewpoint that pest control experienced qualitative research, quantitative research and three stages of qualitative and quantitative integrated research. Therefore, the development and application of an expert system (model included in the system) that can comprehensively utilize qualitative information (including expert knowledge) and quantitative information will help to make higher-level decisions. It can be argued that this will be the direction of IPM, and in particular the development of integrated ecosystem management.