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为准确反映煤与瓦斯突出危险状态,综合运用预警基本理论、煤与瓦斯突出预测技术以及安全系统工程的分析方法,从影响煤与瓦斯突出灾害发展、发生的时间维度,包括自然历史因素、现实影响因素、实时影响因素构建预警指标体系,以能够处理自变量为定性变量或定量变量的数量化理论为手段,构建了煤与瓦斯突出的综合预警模型。实践证明,所用的研究方法是比较客观的、科学的,建立的预警模型实用性强。
In order to accurately reflect the dangerous state of coal and gas outburst, the comprehensive application of the basic theory of early warning, prediction technology of coal and gas outburst and the analysis method of safety system engineering, from the time dimension affecting the development of coal and gas outburst disasters, including the natural history factors, Influencing factors and real-time influencing factors, an early-warning index system is constructed, and a comprehensive early-warning model of coal and gas outburst is constructed based on the quantitative theory that can treat the independent variables as qualitative or quantitative variables. Practice has proved that the research methods used are relatively objective and scientific, and the early-warning model established has strong practicality.