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影响金融风险的因素很多,具体到财政方面,以往学者主要关注的是财政风险如何影响金融风险,然而当我们观察各地工业园区和大学城建设等增加金融风险的事件就会发现,恰恰相反,不是地方财政状况恶化而是地方财政状况良好而引发金融风险的。每个地方政府都有促进当地经济发展的巨大动力,在国有企业改革后,地方政府不能再随意创建国有企业或督促国有企业加大投资,剩下的可以直接推动当地经济发展的资源就是财政,通过财政资金建设基础设施等的投资诱发更多的企业投资。财政状况良好的地方比财政状况差的地方更有能力影响当地的投资和经济发展。本文主要以广东省的“双转移”为背景,研究广东省的良好财政状况如何让银行信贷在短时间内诱使金融风险快速提升的。
There are many factors that affect financial risk. Specifically, in the financial field, the main concern of scholars in the past is how financial risks affect financial risks. However, when we observe the increasing financial risks in industrial parks and university towns in various places, we find that on the contrary, Local financial conditions worsened but the local financial conditions and lead to financial risks. Each local government has great incentive to promote local economic development. After the reform of state-owned enterprises, local governments can no longer create state-owned enterprises at random or supervise state-owned enterprises to increase investment. The remaining resources that can directly promote local economic development are the financial, Investing in infrastructure through financial capital induces more business investment. Places with good financial conditions are more able to influence local investment and economic development than places with poor financial conditions. This paper mainly focuses on the “double shift” of Guangdong Province to study how the sound financial position in Guangdong Province can induce bank credit to induce rapid increase of financial risk in a short period of time.