论文部分内容阅读
2011年2月,天然橡胶市场受地缘政治和消费忧虑的双重影响,走势弱于预期,而且继续呈现内弱外强的格局。进入3月,市场形势仍然复杂,压制因素将继续困扰市场,但是压力将有所减弱。国内货币政策调控放缓的预期令市场得到一定提振,短期内天然橡胶供应紧俏的基本面仍难以改善,因此市场支撑因素作用较为明显。综合分析,预计3月天然橡胶市场的走势将以震荡为主,沪胶指数下方38000元支撑位依旧有效,但上方42000元压力较大。
In February 2011, the natural rubber market was weaker than expected due to the double impact of geopolitics and consumer worries, and the natural rubber market continued to show the pattern of weak internal strength and weak externalities. Into March, the market situation is still complex, the suppression factors will continue to bother the market, but the pressure will be weakened. The expectation of a slowdown in the regulation and control of domestic monetary policy will certainly boost the market. In the short term, the fundamentals of the tight supply of natural rubber are still hard to be improved. Therefore, the market supportive factor is more obvious. Comprehensive analysis, the natural rubber market in March is expected to trend-based shocks, 38,000 yuan below the Hujiao index support is still valid, but the top 42,000 yuan pressure.