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中国经济在今年三四季度见底的概率较大,相应的有色金属价格将进入到震荡筑底阶段,有色板块也将进入到震荡筑底阶段。从历史上来看,有色金属与宏观经济的相关性十分密切。当前美国经济从低位开始缓慢复苏,中国经济在二季度达到了7.6%的三年新低,预计在三四季度将进行震荡筑底。有色板块三四季度将进入到震荡筑底阶段,不排除在流动性阶段性放量之后出现脉冲式上涨走势。
China’s economy in the three quarters of this year, the probability of bottoming out the larger, the corresponding non-ferrous metal prices will enter the turbulent bottoming stage, colored plates will also enter the shock bottoming stage. Historically, the correlation between nonferrous metals and macroeconomics has been very close. At present, the U.S. economy has been slowly recovering from a low level. China’s economy hit a three-year low of 7.6% in the second quarter and is expected to bottom out in the third and fourth quarters. Non-ferrous plate three or four quarters will enter the turbulence bottoms stage, do not rule out the pulse in the liquidity after the gradual heavy volume up trend.