依笔者孔见,不少有关中国经济的分析都是结论推断过多,前提分析太少。太多的人、太多的文章只追求结论,甚至语不惊人死不休,一定要给中国经济开药方、开秘方、开大方、开狠方。问题是前提清晰准确吗?是虚设、自设前提吗?我以为,前提比结果更重要。我的基本观点是:一方面,中国经济几乎不需要什么复杂的分析,因为其基本特征是具有相当强的可维持性。另一方面,要想对中国经济做科学分析非常艰难,因为缺乏基本前提。下面做点具体分析。关于中国经济的可维持性之基本特征,大体有这样四点支 According to the author's opinion, quite a lot of the analysis of the Chinese economy is based on the conclusion that too much extrapolation and the prerequisite analysis is too little. Too many people, too many articles are only the pursuit of the conclusion, even the language is not alarmingly endless, we must open prescriptions to the Chinese economy, open a secret, open generous, open a ruthless side. Is the premise clear and accurate? Is it a fictitious, own premise? I think the premise is more important than the result. My basic view is: On the one hand, the Chinese economy hardly needs any complicated analysis because its basic characteristics are quite strong and maintainable. On the other hand, it is very difficult to make a scientific analysis of the Chinese economy because of the lack of basic premises. Do the following specific analysis. There are four main points about the basic characteristics of the sustainability of China's economy