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自1997年下半年以来,社会有效需求不足日益成为国民经济运行中的突出问题,总体上国民经济运行处于收缩态势。从去年下半年到今年一季度,随着一系列扩大内需的宏观政策和措施逐步到位并取得成效,经济景气出现了回升的迹象,居民消费保持稳定增长,进出口出现高速增长,物价水平同比降幅进一步缩小,居民消费价格已止跌略升。 固定资产投资是社会有效需求的重要组成部分,是推动经济增长的主要因素之一。从总体上看,内需不足仍将是2000年经济增长的制约因素,因此,要保持经济景气持续回升,2000年应进一步加大投资的力度。对2000年经济发展主要指标预测如下:在国内消费稳定增长、出口增长回升的同时,若全社会固定资产增长9～11％,达到32850亿元左右,则国
Since the second half of 1997, the insufficient effective social demand has increasingly become a prominent issue in the operation of the national economy. On the whole, the national economy is in a contractionary state. From the second half of last year to the first quarter of this year, as a series of macroeconomic policies and measures to expand domestic demand gradually came into effect and achieved results, the economic climate showed signs of recovery. The consumption of residents maintained steady growth with rapid growth in import and export and a year-on-year drop in the price level Further narrowing, consumer prices have ended slightly higher. Investment in fixed assets is an important part of the effective social demand and one of the major factors driving economic growth. On the whole, insufficient domestic demand will still be a constraint on economic growth in 2000. Therefore, in order to maintain a sustained economic recovery, it is necessary to further increase investment in 2000. The forecast of the major indicators for economic development in 2000 is as follows: While domestic consumption is steadily growing and export growth is picking up, if the fixed assets of the whole society increase by 9-11% to reach 3.2850 trillion yuan,