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东北亚地区在过去二十年的高速的经济增长,给予了这个地区其依赖于从外部进口石油和天然气的能源消费结构以巨大的压力。由于东北亚地区固有的能源需求和供给方式,已经成为了影响该地区安全首当其冲的因素。作者通过分析了影响东北亚的能源冲突和合作的因素,得出能源能够创造共同利益,并使得三国之间合作的几率远远大于竞争的结论。中、日、韩三国能够建立起一个多边的能源安全机构,从而促进东北亚地区地缘政治格局的稳定和发展。
The rapid economic growth in Northeast Asia over the past two decades has given great pressure on the region’s energy consumption structure, which relies on the import of oil and gas from outside. Because of the inherent energy needs and supply patterns in Northeast Asia, it has become the primary factor affecting the security in the region. By analyzing the factors that affect the energy conflicts and cooperation in Northeast Asia, the author concludes that energy can create common interests and make the cooperation between the three countries much more likely than the competition. China, Japan and the ROK can establish a multilateral energy security agency so as to promote the stability and development of geopolitics in Northeast Asia.