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基于中国67个重点城市2001~2011年数据,研究了城市产业结构污染水平和能耗水平的变化,以及其对主管官员晋升的影响。研究发现,官员任职期间辖区产业结构的清洁化能显著提升其晋升的概率,而产业结构的节能升级对官员的晋升无显著影响。研究结论同时适用于党政官员,也适用于重点城市中不同行政等级城市。论文的发现扩充了官员“为增长而竞争”的经济视角,发现了“为环境而竞争”的产业变动证据。
Based on the data from 2001 to 2011 in 67 major cities in China, this paper studies the changes of pollution levels and energy consumption levels in urban industrial structure and their impact on the promotion of officials in charge. The study found that the cleanliness of the industrial structure in the area during the tenure of officials can significantly enhance the probability of their promotion, while the energy-saving upgrading of industrial structure has no significant effect on the promotion of officials. The conclusions apply to both party and government officials as well as cities of different administrative levels in key cities. The paper’s findings expand the economic perspective of officials “competing for growth” and found evidence of industrial change “competing for the environment.”