中国大陆某些地震区主震事件判识(Ⅱ)

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基于孕震断层多锁固段脆性破裂理论,修正了3.4版《中国及其周边地震区划分图》某些地震区划分方案的不合理之处,剔除了原曲麻莱以北地震区、南京地震区、福贡地震区和中缅边境地震区3,新增加了敦煌、磴口、许昌、连云港与贵定地震区,新编制的3.5版地震区划分图地震区总数为79个.因历史地震目录不完整或参数误差较大,我们过去的分析可能误判了特定地震区某一轮孕育周期的主震事件.鉴于此,本文从孕育周期界定与主震事件判识角度,采用新发展的最小有效性震级确定方法,重新界定这些存疑的地震区孕育周期、判识其主震事件并分析其未来震情,得到比之前分析更好的结果. Based on the theory of brittle fracture in the multi-lock solid section of the pregnant earth fault, the unreasonableness of the division scheme of some seismic zones in the 3.4 “China and its surrounding seismic zone map” was corrected. The seismic zone north of the original Qumalai, Nanjing Earthquake area, the Fugong earthquake area and Sino-Burmese border seismic area 3, a new increase of Dunhuang, Lukou, Xuchang, Lianyungang and Guiding earthquake area, the newly compiled 3.5 earthquake area map the total number of seismic zones for 79. Due to history Incomplete earthquake catalog or large parameter error, our past analysis may misjudge the mainshock event of one round of gestation cycle in a particular earthquake area.In view of this, this article uses the new development from the perspective of the identification of the gestation period and the main shock event The method of determining the minimum effective magnitude of earthquake is to redefine the quasi-seismogenic zone inoculation cycle, to identify its mainshock event and analyze its future earthquake situation, and obtain better results than the previous analysis.
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