过去几年,国际石油市场基本保持了稳定:产量、储量均稳步增长,消费需求进一步放缓,国际原油、成品油价格稳中有降,叙利亚内战、伊朗核问题、埃及内乱、南苏丹种族冲突等地缘政治因素并未对市场造成重大的冲击。得益于国际石油体系日趋完善和各国合作程度进一步加深,国际石油供需在中长期将继续保持稳定和宽松,甚至有可能在一定条件下出现过剩。这种转变不仅体现了全球金融危机以来 Over the past few years, the international oil market has basically remained stable: output and reserves have been steadily increasing, consumer demand has slowed further, international crude oil and refined oil prices have been steadily declining. The Syrian civil war, the Iranian nuclear issue, the Egyptian civil strife and the ethnic conflict in South Sudan Geopolitical factors such as the market did not have a significant impact. Thanks to the increasingly perfect international petroleum system and further deepening cooperation between countries, the international oil supply and demand will continue to be stable and relaxed in the medium and long term and may even be surplus under certain conditions. This shift not only reflects the global financial crisis