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气候变化的国际论辩随着国际气候制度的演进过程而不断深入。从气候变化的科学基础到对经济利益的评估、再到政治意愿的形成,气候变化博弈背后的经济利益之争和地缘政治之争构成了国际气候治理的国际大背景。中国在世界政治经济舞台上的影响力越来越大,对国际气候制度的形成、发展和未来走向具有举足轻重的作用。中国所持的气候变化立场也备受国际社会瞩目。作者结合国际气候制度的演进历程概括了中国对气候变化问题的认识与调整过程,分析了中国在气候变化决策过程以及针对中国气候变化立场中“变”与“不变”的原因。作者认为,低碳经济发展的道路是中国在后京都时代国际气候治理过程中的战略选择。
The international debate on climate change continues to deepen with the evolution of the international climate regime. From the scientific basis of climate change to the assessment of economic benefits, to the formation of political will, the economic interests behind the climate change game and the geopolitical controversy constitute the international background of international climate governance. As China becomes increasingly influential on the world political and economic arena, China plays an important role in the formation, development and future direction of the international climate regime. China’s climate change position has also attracted the attention of the international community. Based on the evolution of the international climate system, the author summarizes China’s understanding and adjustment of climate change and analyzes the reasons for China’s “change” and “changelessness” in the process of climate change decision-making and China’s climate change. . The author believes that the road to the development of a low-carbon economy is a strategic choice for China in the process of international climate governance in the post-Kyoto era.