论文部分内容阅读
从口岸检疫角度探讨进境木薯干携带活虫疫情的风险因素。通过对2011~2015年进境木薯干昆虫疫情数据进行描述性统计分析,进而对检疫重要性、来源国家、时间等因素进行多因素Logistic回归分析。结果表明进境木薯干截获昆虫的总体平均活虫率为27.81%,检疫性昆虫活虫风险是非检疫性昆虫的1.437倍,越南活虫疫情风险为总体平均水平的2.737倍,7~10月份活虫疫情风险为总体的1.6~2倍。由此可以得出结论:不同检疫重要性、来源国家、时间的活虫率存在显著性差异,对高风险来源国家、季节应加强检疫措施。
Discussion on risk factors of dry tapuks carrying tapioca inbound from the perspective of port quarantine. Through the descriptive statistics analysis of the data of dry-spot cassava inbound from 2011 to 2015, multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted on the importance of quarantine, country of origin and time. The results showed that the overall average rate of live insects intercepting insects entering the country was 27.81%, the risk of quarantine insects was 1.437 times that of non-quarantine insects, and the risk of living insects in Vietnam was 2.737 times of the overall average level. From July to October, The epidemic risk of pest is 1.6 ~ 2 times as a whole. Therefore, it can be concluded that the importance of different quarantine, there is a significant difference in living insects in countries of origin and time, and quarantine measures should be strengthened in seasons in countries with high risk.