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一、1991年上半年经济形势的特点今年上半年国民经济运行一改前两年剧烈起落的局面,保持了全面稳定和均衡的增长态势。与去年同期增长率相比较,工业生产为13.4%,社会商品零售额为12.8%,全社会固定资产投资为14%,出口(海关口径)为18.5%。供需的快速回升并没有引起通货膨胀反弹,逐月零售物价指数保持在0.6%—3.1%的较低值上。然而,尽管速度上升势头很猛,经济效益下滑却未被遏制,企业产成品积压仍然严重,“三角债”拖欠问题十分突出,并已影响到基础工业生产回升。
I. Characteristics of the Economic Situation in the First Half of 1991 In the first half of this year, the macroeconomic ups and downs of the national economy in the first two years of reform were reversed and the situation of overall steady and balanced growth was maintained. Compared with the growth rate of the same period of last year, the industrial production was 13.4%, the retail sales of social goods was 12.8%, the investment in fixed assets of the whole society was 14% and the export (customs) was 18.5%. The rapid rebound in supply and demand did not result in a rebound in inflation. The monthly retail price index remained at a relatively low value of 0.6% -3.1%. However, despite the rapid growth momentum and the downturn in economic benefits, which have not been deterred, the backlog of finished products of enterprises is still grave. The problem of delinquent “triangular bonds” is outstanding and has already affected the recovery of basic industrial production.