1当前生猪产业链市场形势历史定位受2012年二三季度宏观经济低迷影响,2012年中国生猪市场走势及诸多特点几乎翻版了2009年的走势。共同点:首先,均是之前一年猪市达到高点,进入周期性下跌通道,春节后大幅下跌;其次,均在4、5月份跌破成本线、出现了亏损;最后,在均出现了亏损的情况下,却又都没有出现大量淘汰母猪现象。不同点:首先,亏损程度和时间不 1 Current Hog Industry Chain Market Position Historical Position Influenced by the macroeconomic downturn in the second and third quarters of 2012, the trend of China’s pig market in 2012 and its many features have almost replicated the trend in 2009. Common ground: First of all, the previous year, the pig market reached a high point and entered the cyclical decline channel, falling sharply after the Spring Festival. Second, all fell below the cost line in April and May with a loss. Finally, In the case of losses, however, there has not been a large number of sows eliminated. Differences: First, the level of loss and time is not