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从经济形势来看,由于紧缩趋缓,将引致股指反弹。当前点位大盘继续下跌空间已经不大。上证指数在1480-1520点区域附近已经进入阶段性的低风险区域。 短期来看,扩容加速将导致资金面的预期不宜过于乐观。6月份股市资金面将在总体紧张的环境下,1650-1680点区域有重大阻力。长期采看,随着投资对经济贡献度的减弱,投资过剩可能对相关上市公司业绩增长产生负面影响。 围绕着“消费”领域的资产配置将是安全边际相对较高的投资选择。建议采取积极策略取向。消费品行业中,选择零售、汽车、空调类家电、电子元器件、电信运营行业,另外,选择中小企业板块特质鲜明的品种列入组合。 油价高企使能源系列价格体系居高不下,而夏季电力需求波峰临近,决定瓶颈行业仍是重要配置方向。
From the economic situation, due to the tightening easing, will lead to a rebound in the stock index. At present, the market continued to drop space is not big. The SSE has entered a phased, low-risk area near the 1480-1520 area. In the short term, accelerating expansion will result in less than optimistic expectations on the capital side. June capital stock face will be in the overall tight environment, the 1650-1680 area has a significant resistance. Long-term mining, with the contribution of investment to the economy weakened, over-investment may have a negative impact on the performance of listed companies growth. Asset allocation around the “consumer” sector will be a relatively high margin investment option. Proposed to take a positive strategic approach. Consumer products industry, the choice of retail, automotive, air conditioning appliances, electronic components, telecom operators, in addition, select the SME plate distinctive varieties included in the portfolio. The high price of oil makes the price series of energy series high while the peak of summer electricity demand is near the peak. The bottleneck industry is still an important configuration direction.